The diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound to determine PiCCO-derived extravascular lung water in invasively ventilated patients with COVID-19 ARDS (preprint)

Background: Lung ultrasound (LUS) is a non-invasive method to detect and quantify pulmonary edema. However, it remains uncertain how components of the LUS examination should be aggregated into a score for quantifying pulmonary edema. We examined the diagnostic accuracy of various LUS scores with the extravascular lung water index (EVLWi) assessed with PiCCO in patients with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 ARDS. Methods: In this predefined secondary analysis of a multicenter randomized-controlled trial (InventCOVID), patients were included within 48h after intubation and underwent LUS and EVLWi measurement at two time points (first and fourth study day). EVLWi and ∆EVLWi were used as reference standard. Two 12-region scores (global LUS and LUS-ARDS), an 8-region anterior-lateral score and a 4-region B-line score were used as index tests. Pearson correlation was performed and the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROCC) for severe pulmonary edema (EVLWi>15mL/kg) was calculated. Results: 26 of 30 patients (87%) had complete LUS and EVLWi measurements at time point 1 and 24 of 29 patients (83%) at time point 2. The global LUS (r=0.54), LUS-ARDS (r=0.58) and anterior-lateral score (r=0.54) were significantly correlated with EVLWi, while the B-line score was not (r=0.32). ∆global LUS (r=0.49) and ∆anterior-lateral LUS (r=0.52) were significantly correlated with ∆EVLWi, while correlation of ∆LUS-ARDS (r=0.43) and ∆B-lines (r=0.32) did not reach statistical significance. AUROCC for EVLWi>15ml/kg was 0.73 for the global LUS, 0.79 for the anterior-lateral and 0.85 for the LUS-ARDS score. Conclusions: The global LUS, LUS-ARDS and antero-lateral score can quantify PiCCO-derived pulmonary edema measurements in COVID-19 ARDS. The LUS-ARDS score showed the highest diagnostic accuracy for severe pulmonary edema. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT04794088, registered on 11 March 2021. European Clinical Trials Database number 2020-005447-23.

StEroids in hospitaLized patiEnts With Covid-19 in The Netherlands.

Joint Modeling of Repeated Measurements of Different Biomarkers Predicts Mortality in COVID-19 Patients in the Intensive Care Unit. (preprint)

Background: Predicting disease severity is important for treatment decisions in patients with COVID-19 in the intensive care unit (ICU). Different biomarkers have been investigated in COVID-19 as predictor of mortality, including C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR). Using repeated measurements in a prediction model may result in a more accurate risk prediction than the use of single point measurements. The goal of this study is to investigate the predictive value of trends in repeated measurements of CRP, PCT, IL-6 and suPAR on mortality in patients admitted to the ICU with COVID-19. Methods: This was a retrospective single center cohort study. Patients were included if they tested positive on SARS-CoV-2 by PCR test and if IL-6, PCT, suPAR was measured during any of the ICU admission days. There were no exclusion criteria for this study. We used joint models to predict ICU-mortality. This analysis was done using the framework of joint models for longitudinal and survival data. The reported hazard ratios express the relative change in the risk of death resulting from a doubling or 20% increase of the biomarker’s value in a day compared to no change in the same period. Results: A total of 107 patients were included, of which 26 died during ICU admission. Adjusted for sex and age, a doubling in the next day in either levels of PCT, IL-6 and suPAR was significantly predictive of in-hospital mortality with and an HR of 1.523 (1.012 – 6.540), 75.25 (1.116 – 6247) and 24.45 (1.696 – 1057) respectively. With a 20% increase in biomarker value in a subsequent day, the HR of PCT, IL-6 and suPAR were 1.117 (1.03 – 1.639), 3.116 (1.029 – 9.963) and 2.319 (1.149 – 6.243) respectively. Conclusion: Joint models for the analysis of repeated measurements of PCT, suPAR and IL-6 are a useful method for predicting mortality in COVID-19 patients in the ICU. Patients with an increasing trend of biomarker levels in consecutive days are at increased risk for mortality.

Interferon-α Auto-Antibodies in Convalescent Plasma Therapy for COVID-19 (preprint)

Purpose:  To study the effect of Interferon-α auto-antibodies (IFN-α Abs) on clinical and virological outcomes in critically ill COVID-19 patients and the risk of IFN-α Abs transfer during convalescent plasma treatment. Methods: : Sera from cases of COVID-19 and other respiratory illness were tested for IFN-αAbs by ELISA and bioassay. IFN-α Abslevels were compared between critically, severely and moderately ill groups in both acute and convalescent stages. Longitudinal analyses were performed to determine whether IFN-α Abs levels change after convalescent plasma transfusion. Results: : Critically ill COVID-19 caseshad significantly higher IFN-α Abs detection rate and levels compared tonon-COVID-19 controls.Neutralizing IFN-α Abs levels were found in 1 out of 118plasma donors.Plasma from 2 positive donors was administered to 5 patients, with no subsequent elevation of IFN-α Abs levels in the recipients. Neutralizing levels of IFN-α Abswere associated with delayed viral clearance from the respiratory tract. Conclusions: : IFN-α Abs can be detected by ELISA in critical, severe, moderate and mild COVID-19 cases in both the acute and convalescent stages of disease. The presence of neutralizing IFN-α Abs in critically ill COVID-19 is associated with delayed viral clearance. Levels of IFN-α Abs inCOVID-19 convalescent plasma donorsare likely too low to be clinically relevant to the recipients.

Temporal kinetics of RNAemia and associated systemic cytokines in hospitalized COVID-19 patients (preprint)

COVID-19 is associated to a wide range of extra-respiratory complications, of which the pathogenesis is currently not fully understood. In this study we report the temporal kinetics of viral RNA and inflammatory cytokines and chemokines in serum during the course of COVID-19. We show that a RNAemia occurs more frequently and lasts longer in patients that develop critical disease compared to patients that develop moderate or severe disease. Furthermore we show that concentrations of IL-10 and MCP-1--but not IL-6--are associated with viral load in serum. However, higher levels of IL-6 were associated with the development of critical disease. The direct association of inflammatory cytokines with viral load or disease severity highlights the complexity of systemic inflammatory response and the role of systemic viral spread.

Severe COVID-19 patients display a back boost of seasonal coronavirus-specific antibodies (preprint)

Severe acquired respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the cause of coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In severe COVID-19 cases, higher antibody titers against seasonal coronaviruses have been observed than in mild cases. To investigate antibody cross-reactivity as potential explanation for severe disease, we determined the kinetics, breadth, magnitude and level of cross-reactivity of IgG against SARS-CoV-2 and seasonal CoV nucleocapsid and spike from 17 severe COVID-19 cases at the clonal level. Although patients mounted a mostly type-specific SARS-CoV-2 response, B-cell clones directed against seasonal CoV dominated and strongly increased over time. Seasonal CoV IgG responses that did not neutralize SARS-CoV-2 were boosted well beyond detectable cross-reactivity, particularly for HCoV-OC43 spike. These findings support a back-boost of poorly protective coronavirus-specific antibodies in severe COVID-19 patients that may negatively impact de novo SARS-CoV-2 immunity, reminiscent of original antigenic sin.

Shedding of infectious virus in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): duration and key determinants (preprint)

BackgroundLong-term shedding of viral RNA in COVID-19 prevents timely discharge from the hospital or de-escalation of infection prevention and control practices. Key questions are the duration and determinants of infectious virus shedding. We assessed these questions using virus cultures of respiratory tract samples from hospitalized COVID-19 patients as a proxy for infectious virus shedding. MethodsClinical and virological data were obtained from 129 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (89 intensive care, 40 medium care). Generalized estimating equations were used to identify if viral RNA load, detection of viral subgenomic RNA, serum neutralizing antibody response, duration of symptoms, or immunocompromised status were predictive for a positive virus culture. FindingsInfectious virus shedding was detected in 23 of the 129 patients (17,8%). The median duration of shedding was 8 days post onset of symptoms (IQR 5 - 11) and the probability of detecting infectious virus dropped below 5% after 15,2 days post onset of symptoms (95% confidence interval (CI) 13,4 - 17,2). Multivariate analyses identified viral loads above 7 log10 RNA copies/mL (odds ratio [OR]; CI 14,7 (3,57-58,1; p<0,001) as independently associated with isolation of infectious SARS-CoV-2 from the respiratory tract. A serum neutralizing antibody titre of at least 1:20 (OR of 0,01 (CI 0,003-0,08; p<0,001) was independently associated with non-infectious SARS-CoV-2. InterpretationInfection prevention and control guidelines should take into account that patients with severe or critical COVID-19 may shed infectious virus for longer periods of time compared to what has been reported for in patients with mild COVID-19. Infectious virus shedding drops to undetectable levels below a viral RNA load threshold and once serum neutralizing antibodies are present, which warrants the use of quantitative viral RNA load assays and serological assays in test-based strategies to discontinue or de-escalate infection prevention and control precautions. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched PubMed, bioRxiv, and medRxiv for articles that reported on shedding of infectious virus in COVID-19 patients using the search terms ("coronavirus" OR "SARS" OR "SARS-CoV-2" OR "COVID-19") AND ("shedding" OR "infectivity" OR "infectious" OR "virus culture") with no language or time restrictions. A detailed study on nine patients with mild COVID-19 reported that infectious virus could not be isolated after more than eight days of symptoms. The probability of isolating infectious virus was less than 5% when viral loads dropped below 6,51 Log10 RNA copies/mL. Similar results were obtained with a larger diagnostic sample set, but that study did not report on clinical parameters such as disease severity. Finally there is a report of a single patient shedding infectious virus up to 18 days after onset of symptoms. No published works were found on the shedding of infectious virus in patients with severe or critical COVID-19, and no published works were found on factors independently associated with shedding of infectious virus. Added value of this studyWe assessed the duration and determinants of infectious virus shedding in 129 patients with severe or critical COVID-19. The duration of infectious virus shedding ranged from 0 to 20 days post onset of symptoms (median 8 days, IQR 5 - 11). The probability of detecting infectious virus dropped below 5% after 15,2 days post onset of symptoms (95% confidence interval (CI) 13,4 - 17,2). Viral loads above 7 log10 RNA copies/mL were independently associated with detection of infectious SARS-CoV-2 from the respiratory tract (odds ratio [OR]; CI 14,7 (3,57-58,1; p<0,001). A serum neutralizing antibody titre of at least 1:20 (OR of 0,01 (CI 0,003-0,08; p<0,001) was independently associated with non-infectious SARS-CoV-2. Implications of all the available evidenceInfection prevention and control guidelines should take into account that patients with severe or critical COVID-19 may shed infectious virus for longer periods of time compared to what has been reported for in patients with mild COVID-19. Quantitative viral RNA load assays and serological assays should be used for test-based strategies to discontinue or de-escalate infection prevention and control precautions.

Phenotype of SARS-CoV-2-specific T-cells in COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 has been identified as the causative agent of a global outbreak of respiratory tract disease (COVID-19). In some patients the infection results in moderate to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), requiring invasive mechanical ventilation. High serum levels of IL-6 and an immune hyperresponsiveness referred to as a cytokine storm have been associated with poor clinical outcome. Despite the large numbers of cases and deaths, information on the phenotype of SARS-CoV-2-specific T-cells is scarce. Here, we detected SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cells in 100% and 80% of COVID-19 patients, respectively. We also detected low levels of SARS-CoV-2-reactive T-cells in 20% of the healthy controls, not previously exposed to SARS-CoV-2 and indicative of cross-reactivity due to infection with common cold coronaviruses. Strongest T-cell responses were directed to the surface glycoprotein (spike, S), and SARS-CoV-2-specific T-cells predominantly produced effector and Th1 cytokines, although Th2 and Th17 cytokines were also detected. Collectively, these data stimulate further studies into the role of T-cells in COVID-19, support vaccine design and facilitate the evaluation of vaccine candidate immunogenicity.